RMDM16 Prediction Contest Leaderboard

[BlotchedyDooDah]

#1 HurryKane - 1520
#2 Skittle - 995
#3 (czech) DraCoNT - 970
#4 BlotchedyDooDah - 824
#5 ImRiver - 630
#6 Shmolagin - 600
#6 nimanoe - 500
#8 Tsu_NilPferD - 125
#9 Interdimension - 50
#10 Lews_Therin - 0

 

[DracKeN]

Hi,
I'd just like to point out you have there mistakes Blotch, based on the fact you're not counting the actual investments for the correct bets. For example - I've invested 500 for the round 3 (top16). This is my bet:
TaToH (vs) Twigg
Bet 1A 100
Bet 2A 100
Mounstro (vs) DemocracyofGods
Bet 1C 100
Bet 2A 100
Tsu_NilPferD (vs) Vodka
Bet 3B 100
Tatoh vs Twigg - I've lost 100 on 1A, because I was wrong. Then I was right on 2A with the odd 3.0. So I invested 100 and should get 300 back, that means for this bet Iam +200 not +300. So overall Iam +100 on Twigg vs Tatoh. Mounstro's game was voided, so I should get those 200 back. And I won Nilpferd vs Vodka 3B with the odd 2.5, therefore in this bet Iam +150 (250-100). So overall Iam on 750 not 950. I'm counting the starting amount - investment + everything won with the bet*odd (so Iam not counting with any wrong bets). Just counted Skittle and HurryKane - Skittle is on 500(starting amount)-500(invested)+75(voided)+100(Darkdevil vs Nero games will be played and you count this amount as he still has it, np)+100*2.5+100*4.2+50*3.0 = 995, Hurrykane = 500-500+100*3+100*4.2+100*2.5+100*3.0 = 1270.

By the way with this amount of voided bets and these odds (like 3.0 on A v 3.0 B no other option) it might be fair to pay back voided bets in 1.5 odd, otherwise it's more about betting on the correct match rather than about the betting itself, but that's just my POV. Not everybody is checking all scheduling forums to find out what match is going to be played, what match not and then to change their bets from voided matches to matches that are going to be played.

 

[BlotchedyDooDah]

Hello, I haven't subtracted any invested points until the games are played

 

[DracKeN]

Yeah, I understood that and already mentioned in previous post.

(Darkdevil vs Nero games will be played and you count this amount as he still has it, np)

What Iam speaking about is that you didnt subtracted the actual bets. If you bet 100 on 3.0 and u're right, you get 300 back. But your profit is only 200 (300 - 100 u invested), you're counting it as the profit is 300, which is wrong.
So I have 200 (matche that still wasn't played) + 300 for Twigg 2.A bet + 250 for Nilpferd 3.B bet = 750. Same for others.

 

[BlotchedyDooDah]

Yeah, I understood that and already mentioned in previous post.

(Darkdevil vs Nero games will be played and you count this amount as he still has it, np)

What Iam speaking about is that you didnt subtracted the actual bets. If you bet 100 on 3.0 and u're right, you get 300 back. But your profit is only 200 (300 - 100 u invested), you're counting it as the profit is 300, which is wrong.

You're right, thank you

I'll fix it

 

[DracKeN]

I think you're still giving skittle 100 more than he should have though . He started with 500, invested everything = 500 - 500, on TatoH he lost 1A 75, game 5 wasn't played so he got these 75 back. Another 100 he has on Nero vs Darkdevil. And then he has 100*4.2 + 50*3 + 100*2.5 for Nilpferd's match = 75+100+420+150+250=995. Iam sorry to Skittle by the way, when I realized there's a mistake probably I counted me and you + HurryKane to be sure and now I see that even after the fix Blotch gives you 100 more. Nothing personal .

 

[BlotchedyDooDah]

I'll look at this later

 

[Nili_AoE]

i should have 550 gold

 

[DracKeN]

I'd just like to point out I should have 800 not 970, I've counted all my bets once again and got it : R3: 500 - 100 + 200 + 150 = 750 rest of bets void. QFs : 750 + 600 = 1350, rest void. SFs : 1350 - 550 = 800, rest void.

 

[Timotheus_]

I'd just like to point out I should have 800 not 970, I've counted all my bets once again and got it : R3: 500 - 100 + 200 + 150 = 750 rest of bets void. QFs : 750 + 600 = 1350, rest void. SFs : 1350 - 550 = 800, rest void.

Cheers, misread one of the bets from R3 wrong.

 

[Shmolagin]

Lol, I only bet for the first one and I'm not even going to lose. :lol:

 

[nimanoe]

so, who won?

 

[DracKeN]

According tu rules, I've won, HurryKane 2nd. If his bet for finals is accepted (bit after the time limit, when I actually bet in the last possible minute knowing he didn't bet yet and according to this I made my bet) then HurryKane won, Iam 2nd. IMO his bet should be accepted though since he could easily do a reaction bet to mine and yours bet to be 100% to win (betting smaller amounts on what we bet with his lead), he didn't do so, so I think he should be the winner. But for the next time I'd prefer being more strict with the rules, since I've done quite some counting before I placed my bet and it was pretty useless in the end.

 

[Timotheus_]

Dont forget 3rd place play off! Spring vs Tulkas/Melkor

 

[DracKeN]

Finals | Score Bet + Possible Bets for each game, no gold limit

??? There's nothing about 3rd place match. I've went for this one as it is the last round and I'm hardly the only one, I'd bet differently then.