Looking at the 58:30 lure, he only had 5 vils at the tc, meaning one to lure+4 in the tc to shoot, so maybe he didn't go for it since he usually does the 6 vil volley? Now I'm not sure, so I'll try and look through more games to see what he does most oftenSimilarly, check that boar lure: 58m30 of the T90 video. Nicov did not garrison to weaken. From that recent example, I'd say I don't expect him to do it in the main event either. While dogao could have picked up on it behind the scenes.
I'd rather use the Nicov-Lyx set as the closest from Nicov's first round in terms of mindset. And Nicov's dark age vs Lyx does not match Little John's dark age, while it matches Bela's.
Sadly I don't have any recent dogao's dark age in a tournament. Truly the only thing bothering me for dogao is the Chinese prio from Bela and the lack of Chinese prio for Little John. Otherwise I'd be confident that Little John is dogao at that point.
Edit: 1h39m50 too, even if that boar lure was weird because he brought it too early, so that could justify not wanting to garrison.