The biggest tournament in the history of AoC cannot be without a great Prediction Contest. Now that we have reached the latter stages of the "War is Coming" it's time to bring the prediction contest back to life for this great tournament.
We hope to bring you a bigger and also better prediction contest, one worthy of the biggest event in the history of AoC.
This edition of the Prediction Contest will be less of a “Prediction” Contest and more of a “Wagering” Contest.
Participants can wager on the outcome of various matches throughout the Round Robin and Grand Final stages.
The idea is fairly simple: everyone starts out with 500 “points”, hereafter referred to as “gold”, and each week will be given the option to bet their gold on the outcome of the various matches that week.
Choose correctly and you'll win more gold.
Choose incorrectly and lose the gold you wagered.
Take your (hopefully) winnings and reinvest them into wagers next week and try to get even more gold! Have more than everyone else at the end and win some fantastic prizes!
There are, of course, some complications that make this a bit more complex than just that of course. For full details, please read the full Rules below. For example, though this tournament does have quite an even playing field, there are certainly some “Favorites” who many would expect to easily win against certain other teams in their groups and such. It wouldn't be fun if everyone could just lay all their gold down on “Team Goliath” to beat “Team David” every week. Perhaps the fairer wager might be something like “Team Goliath beats Team David 3-0” or so. Alternatively, perhaps wagering on Team Goliath might only give you a small payout, while wagering on the underdogs would give you a substantial return (Odds betting, in other words). While we're at it, why not throw in some wagers that aren't even about who wins the match? Why not do some fun prop bets, like, say, who will have the highest score in Game 1?
For this contest, to make things interesting, we'll use a combination of Straight Betting, Line Betting, Odds Betting, and Proposition Betting.
Prizes |
1st - $500
2nd - $250
3rd - $100
4th - $75
5th - $50
6th - $25
2nd - $250
3rd - $100
4th - $75
5th - $50
6th - $25
Rules & Settings |
General Rules
- There is no sign-up required. Participants may immediately jump in and place wagers at any point for the duration of the contest.
- Players who are part of the tournament are allowed to participate. However, they will not be allowed to place wagers that relate to any match they or their team is a part of.
- Only one entry per person is allowed. Using multiple accounts to participate will result in disqualification.
General Wagering Rules
- Each player starts out with a bank of 500 gold to use.
- A player may not bet more gold than they have. If a player reaches 0 gold, they can no longer participate in the contest.
- Every week there is a limit to how much a player may spend per bet, for the first week the limit will be 100 gold. The amount the limit will be for the following weeks will be included in the forum post with the bet for that week. The purpose of this is to prevent people from going “all-in” in the last week in an attempt to get first place when there is obviously no penalty for busting. The idea of this contest is to reward excellence over the course of the tournament, not being decent over the tournament and lucky in the last week. This figure may be adjusted depending on standings in the last few weeks.
- After placing a wager, the player will appear on the leaderboard post. The leaderboard will show, in addition to the total gold for that player, how many are “Available” and how many are “Wagered”. Wagered gold are defined as gold that are tied up in a wager that has not yet concluded. Available gold are all the remaining gold the player has left. You may only use “Available” gold to place new wagers.
- The leaderboard does not update in real time. It updates as often as we get around to updating it. It is therefore recommended that each player keeps tabs on their own wagers to be sure they actually have the available gold before placing wagers if necessary.
Wagering Structure and Tickets
- For each “week” of the tournament, a list of available wagers will be posted in a separate thread. In order to place a wager, players will fill out a “ticket” by replying to the thread.
- A ticket consists of a list of the wagers chosen and the amount of the wager. A ticket does not need to consist of every available wager for that week. Players may choose to take as many or as few wagers as they choose. See the weekly wager list for details.
- All tickets are FINAL unless they are rejected by one of the admins ( CometNEt, nimanoe, prv_limb). This means you are not allowed to edit your posts for any reason. So think twice before placing your wagers!
- Tickets will be rejected if a) they are not filled out correctly, b) the participant wagers an amount he/she does not have available, c) the participant wagers on a match he/she potentially is participating in, or d) breaking any other rule.
- You MAY place multiple tickets in the same week if desired, as long as all other rules are followed. You are also allowed to increase your wager on an already placed bet in this manner.
- You MAY NOT place wagers on both outcomes of the same bet.
- Tickets for that week will be accepted up until 23:59 GMT on Tuesday of that week. This should give you at least one full day for every bet from the previous week to conclude. If a match is scheduled for before that time, that particular wager will close at the scheduled time.
Payout Structure and Odds Betting
- The majority of the wagers will be even money wagers. This means that if you bet 50 gold, you will either win 50 gold or lose 50 gold. Your potential payout is the same as your wager.
- Some wagers will be set up as Odds bets where the payout will vary. These will be structured as followed:
Team A vs. Team B: Who will WIN this matchup?
A. Team A (Odds: 1.5) B. Team B (Odds: 3.0)
The odds listed represent the decimal payout of your wager. For example, if you wagered 50 gold on Team A, you would get 1.5 x 50 = 75 gold for a win, or a net of 25 gold. If you wagered on Team B, a win would get you 50 x 3.0 = 150 gold, or a net of 100 gold. In both cases, you would lose your 50 gold wager if you did not win the bet. Even money betting (EVS) is the same as if both outcomes had an odds of 2.0. If odds are not specified, the wager is an even money wager.
Other Rules
- Unless otherwise specified, all wagers do not consider restarted games as part of the match. If a wager is regarding the first game, for example, it refers to the first completed game and does not count anything that may happen in any restarted games prior.
- Rules are subject to change as deemed necessary. There will be an announcement if this happens.
Happy betting!