Hello aoezone,

There is 7 matches today, for a total of 2^7 = 128 possibilities of different outcome. I created a program that would analyse each outcome to see where players could finish once the qualification stage is over.

There is a limitation to my program : I don't consider map wins. I only take the number of victories and the bucholz score.

At the end of the day, 1 player will be 4-0, 3 or 4 will be 3-1, 4 or 6 will be 2-2, 3 or 4 will be 1-3 and 1 will be 0-4.

Every 4-0 will qualify, every 3-1 will qualify and 3 out of the 4 2-2 or 4 out of the 6 2-2 will qualify.

Liereyy and Jordan

They are both certain to qualify with either 4-0 or 3-1.

Hera

If he wins, he's in. But if he loses, he could be in a 3-way tie in only 1 scenario.

Viper

If he is whatever happens.

Capoch

He is in whatever happens.

Tatoh

If he wins, he's in. If he loses, it could be hard for Tatoh. If 2 of his 3 previous opponents wins, his chances are clearly higher. If both Tatoh and Hera wins, Tatoh has 75% chances of qualifying. If Hera wins and Dogao or Villese, he is pretty much in.

MBL

If he wins, he's in. If he loses, his chances are still pretty high. If Liereyy wins, he's pretty much in. It's also the case for Slam and Barles. If MBL loses, he needs a victory by one of his previous opponents.

Daut

He needs a win. Even if he wins, he still needs a victory from one of his previous opponents.

Vinch

He needs a win. If he wins, he is in about 75%.

Villese

If he wins, he is in about 75%

Dogao

If he wins, its a toss up.

Slam

Out

Nicov and Barles

They are out.

There can be 2-way ties at the 8th position. Its hapening in 35 out of the 128 scenarios. One thing to note is that if you have 2 victories, having 6 bucholz score pretty much certifies you the qualification. 7 is always in.

I figured people would be interested in seeing the data, so here it is : https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1bJ1_BtJUTHVyZCkuQBtYj34i1wT8MYOMGdwoP1yIAE8/edit?usp=sharing

Have a great day of RBW5

There is 7 matches today, for a total of 2^7 = 128 possibilities of different outcome. I created a program that would analyse each outcome to see where players could finish once the qualification stage is over.

There is a limitation to my program : I don't consider map wins. I only take the number of victories and the bucholz score.

At the end of the day, 1 player will be 4-0, 3 or 4 will be 3-1, 4 or 6 will be 2-2, 3 or 4 will be 1-3 and 1 will be 0-4.

Every 4-0 will qualify, every 3-1 will qualify and 3 out of the 4 2-2 or 4 out of the 6 2-2 will qualify.

Liereyy and Jordan

They are both certain to qualify with either 4-0 or 3-1.

Hera

If he wins, he's in. But if he loses, he could be in a 3-way tie in only 1 scenario.

Viper

If he is whatever happens.

Capoch

He is in whatever happens.

Tatoh

If he wins, he's in. If he loses, it could be hard for Tatoh. If 2 of his 3 previous opponents wins, his chances are clearly higher. If both Tatoh and Hera wins, Tatoh has 75% chances of qualifying. If Hera wins and Dogao or Villese, he is pretty much in.

MBL

If he wins, he's in. If he loses, his chances are still pretty high. If Liereyy wins, he's pretty much in. It's also the case for Slam and Barles. If MBL loses, he needs a victory by one of his previous opponents.

Daut

He needs a win. Even if he wins, he still needs a victory from one of his previous opponents.

Vinch

He needs a win. If he wins, he is in about 75%.

Villese

If he wins, he is in about 75%

Dogao

If he wins, its a toss up.

Slam

Out

Nicov and Barles

They are out.

There can be 2-way ties at the 8th position. Its hapening in 35 out of the 128 scenarios. One thing to note is that if you have 2 victories, having 6 bucholz score pretty much certifies you the qualification. 7 is always in.

I figured people would be interested in seeing the data, so here it is : https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1bJ1_BtJUTHVyZCkuQBtYj34i1wT8MYOMGdwoP1yIAE8/edit?usp=sharing

Have a great day of RBW5

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