Sitaux vs Sebastian? Anyway Yo was top 4 seed if it was seeded, coming into this tournament. Semifinals of last HC, and top 4 results all over the place last year. Doesn't matter which metric you use, he was either ahead of TaToH or of Liereyy.
I think the use of this very weak argument as the...
Apparently 99 correct brackets?
Barely less than last time then, despite a much harder tournament to guess. Congrats to everybody involved in the collective effort!
The fact the two people who've seen so many Jordan games got it so wrong on Jordan kinda reassures me. I'm not alone. Still so hard to understand really...
Not unhappy with 14/16, I'd rather do that than blindly follow calls I don't believe in, even if I expected to be wrong due to the...
Well GG
I died on my initial hill, will end up at 14 then I guess. First name was the most important.
There's some poetry that my biggest success from HC4 was instantly calling Jordan and being certain of it the entire time and here it fails me, even if since then I've been his YT editor and...
Eh, I would say the Viper 4-0 sweep in the finals of HC3 was quite untouchable as well 11
But yes, the current level of dominance of Hera is on par with what Viper was achieving in that 2017-early 2020 period.
Jordan has not used Sicilians a single time in 1v1 since 2022, Barles used them twice in 2023 on Arena, Ganji once in 2023 on Arena.
This is an extremely uncommon 1v1 civ in the first place (with TaToH and Vinchester being pretty much the only two top players really using them on non-Arena style...
But here it wasn't plumes/halbs vs infantry/cav civ, it was crossbows trying to outmicro mangonels stubbornly for 5 minutes. It really does not feel Yo, but I can see your call as well.
Farms alone are not enough yes.
Unwillingness to go into monks was making me lean Jordan, but lagspike theory in combination with farms is the decider for me, for Ganji=Robert.
But as I said, there are 3 very reasonable answers to the equation imo, those of paradox, Prokofiev, and me.
Ok ok, I promised a 20 page analysis, it's only 6 pages, sorry, but here it is.
Even if most people have probably made their choices, I still wanted to do a huge summary as a closure. The complete summary of this thread for me!
I grouped guesses to make it easier to follow my logic but I’ll...
Didn't you find Ganji to be a consistent bottom left farmer? That's what I saw in qualifiers, and what Robert displayed. This, the lagspike and the gg is what convinced me when I was initially more leaning Jordan for Robert.
The main issue for Liereyy obviously is that on paper, Hera has the same ability to macro, boom and play safe as Viper, but does not have the common mistakes that we now tend to associate with Viper's greed (would not see him not add army on Mudflow typically), and is also keeping up with...
Mostly thinking this due to Nicov's confidence in an absurdly bold call that became less and less bold. And the Chinese community and especially Lyx saying Sigismund is Yo from the start
Also ACCM is very consistent with his first farm, Gajah as well, and it's the same
And I would add the...
Last time there were over 100, I don't think there will be as many but I doubt there won't be quite a lot.
I think just here I've seen all the realistic combinations there are, unless something cataclysmic happened. We're almost certain of 10-12? And the rest is just permutations really.
Thank you, just think I'll accept being wrong at this point, if I am. This has taken way too much time without any real progress for me.
But it will surely help you and others so feel free to do it.
I'll settle on this bracket, unless maybe some more Jadwiga-Alfred analysis changes my mind, as...
Ok more analysis and I'm ready to believe that Ganji is really Robert Guiscard, after reviewing his set vs MbL in qualifier (similar because he was under pressure). That was always plausible from the start, I just thought it made more sense with Jordan.
Still don't see how Sumanguru makes any...
Ok I spent two hours on farms from Ganji, Barles and Jordan, and Pachacuti, Sumanguru and Guiscard, and really I fail to see actual consistency, I'm overcooking all of this.
Not that I don't trust the "first farm" analysis but you admit yourself that players "tend to" do it here or there, and...
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